Match

Stirling Albion vs Cumbernauld Colts: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Forthbank Stadium, Stirling

Stirling AlbionCumbernauld Colts

The Footlab model makes Stirling Albion the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Cumbernauld Colts. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stirling Albion vs Cumbernauld Colts?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Stirling Albion (1,490) and Cumbernauld Colts (1,545).

Stirling Albion win47 %
Draw22 %
Cumbernauld Colts win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stirling Albion have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Cumbernauld Colts have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stirling Albion
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stranraer(home)2-2League Two
Aug 15, 2026Forfar Athletic(away)0-3League Two
Aug 11, 2026Cove Rangers(home)4-2Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Kelty Hearts(away)2-3League Two
Aug 1, 2026Dumbarton(home)2-0League Two
Cumbernauld Colts
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dalbeattie Star(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026Gretna 2008(away)3-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026Queen of the South(away)0-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Auchinleck Talbot(away)0-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Renfrew(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League

How many goals should we expect?

Stirling Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cumbernauld Colts score 2.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stirling Albion1.31.819/159/15
Cumbernauld Colts2.22.1111/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stirling Albion vs Cumbernauld Colts?
The Footlab model makes Stirling Albion the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Cumbernauld Colts.
Where and when is Stirling Albion vs Cumbernauld Colts played?
Stirling Albion vs Cumbernauld Colts is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Forthbank Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stirling Albion and Cumbernauld Colts

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