Stirling Albion vs Cumbernauld Colts: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Forthbank Stadium, Stirling
The Footlab model makes Stirling Albion the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Cumbernauld Colts. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stirling Albion vs Cumbernauld Colts?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Stirling Albion (1,490) and Cumbernauld Colts (1,545).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stirling Albion have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Cumbernauld Colts have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 4-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Stirling Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cumbernauld Colts score 2.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling Albion | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cumbernauld Colts | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stirling Albion vs Cumbernauld Colts?
- The Footlab model makes Stirling Albion the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Cumbernauld Colts.
- Where and when is Stirling Albion vs Cumbernauld Colts played?
- Stirling Albion vs Cumbernauld Colts is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Forthbank Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Queen of the SouthvsAnnan Athletic
- Sep 22, 2026Alloa AthleticvsHibernian U21
- Sep 22, 2026Forfar AthleticvsPeterhead
- Sep 22, 2026Banks O' DeevsAberdeen U21
- Sep 22, 2026Berwick RangersvsStranraer
- Sep 22, 2026ClydevsRangers U21
- Sep 22, 2026East FifevsMotherwell U21
- Sep 22, 2026DumbartonvsKilmarnock II