Banks O' Dee vs Aberdeen U21: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Spain Park, Aberdeen
The Footlab model makes Banks O' Dee the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Aberdeen U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Banks O' Dee vs Aberdeen U21?
Banks O' Dee starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,580 vs 1,403).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banks O' Dee have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Aberdeen U21 have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 1-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Keith(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 9-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Banks O' Dee win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Aberdeen U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2024 | Banks O' Dee 1-0 Aberdeen U21 | Challenge Cup |
Last archived meeting: Banks O' Dee vs Aberdeen U21 on Jul 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Banks O' Dee score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aberdeen U21 score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banks O' Dee | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Aberdeen U21 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Banks O' Dee vs Aberdeen U21?
- The Footlab model makes Banks O' Dee the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Aberdeen U21.
- Where and when is Banks O' Dee vs Aberdeen U21 played?
- Banks O' Dee vs Aberdeen U21 is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Spain Park, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Queen of the SouthvsAnnan Athletic
- Sep 22, 2026Alloa AthleticvsHibernian U21
- Sep 22, 2026Forfar AthleticvsPeterhead
- Sep 22, 2026Stirling AlbionvsCumbernauld Colts
- Sep 22, 2026Berwick RangersvsStranraer
- Sep 22, 2026ClydevsRangers U21
- Sep 22, 2026East FifevsMotherwell U21
- Sep 22, 2026DumbartonvsKilmarnock II