Where and when is East Fife vs Motherwell U21 played?

East Fife vs Motherwell U21 is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

East Fife vs Motherwell U21: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil

East Fife

Motherwell U21

The Footlab model makes East Fife the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Motherwell U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win East Fife vs Motherwell U21?

East Fife starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,604 vs 1,366).

East Fife win73 %

Draw16 %

Motherwell U21 win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Fife have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Motherwell U21 have 1, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

East Fife
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hamilton Academical(home)	0-0	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Peterhead(away)	1-2	League One
Aug 11, 2026	Spartans(home)	2-2	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Cove Rangers(home)	2-0	League One
Aug 1, 2026	Alloa Athletic(away)	0-0	League One

Motherwell U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	Kelty Hearts(away)	3-4	Challenge Cup
Nov 11, 2025	Queen of the South(away)	1-3	Challenge Cup
Oct 11, 2025	Stenhousemuir(away)	0-4	Challenge Cup
Sep 23, 2025	Stranraer(away)	0-3	Challenge Cup
Sep 6, 2025	Clyde(away)	0-4	Challenge Cup

How many goals should we expect?

East Fife score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Motherwell U21 score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
East Fife	1.1	0.9	5	8/15	5/15
Motherwell U21	0.5	2.3	4	4/13	9/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for East Fife vs Motherwell U21?: The Footlab model makes East Fife the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Motherwell U21.
Where and when is East Fife vs Motherwell U21 played?: East Fife vs Motherwell U21 is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.