Where and when is Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer played?

Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Shielfield Park, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Shielfield Park, Berwick-upon-Tweed, Northumberland

Berwick Rangers

Stranraer

The Footlab model makes Berwick Rangers the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Stranraer. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Berwick Rangers (1,460) and Stranraer (1,545).

Berwick Rangers win44 %

Draw23 %

Stranraer win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berwick Rangers have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Stranraer have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Berwick Rangers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home)	0-2	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026	Stirling University(home)	3-2	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026	Hearts U21(home)	3-4	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Brechin(away)	3-4	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home)	0-2	Football League - Lowland League

Stranraer
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Stirling Albion(away)	2-2	League Two
Aug 15, 2026	Spartans(home)	1-0	League Two
Aug 11, 2026	Alloa Athletic(away)	1-2	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Annan Athletic(home)	0-1	League Two
Aug 1, 2026	Clyde(away)	1-3	League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Berwick Rangers win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stranraer win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 20, 2019	Stranraer 6-0 Berwick Rangers	League Cup

Last archived meeting: Stranraer vs Berwick Rangers on Jul 20, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Berwick Rangers score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stranraer score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Berwick Rangers	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	7/15
Stranraer	1.0	1.3	5	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer?: The Footlab model makes Berwick Rangers the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Stranraer.
Where and when is Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer played?: Berwick Rangers vs Stranraer is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Shielfield Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.