Where and when is Queen of the South vs Annan Athletic played?

Queen of the South vs Annan Athletic is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Palmerston Park, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Queen of the South vs Annan Athletic: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Palmerston Park, Dumfries

Queen of the South

Annan Athletic

The Footlab model makes Queen of the South the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Annan Athletic. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Queen of the South vs Annan Athletic?

Queen of the South starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,608 vs 1,454).

Queen of the South win69 %

Draw17 %

Annan Athletic win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Queen of the South have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Annan Athletic have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Queen of the South
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Hibernian U21(home)	1-0	Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Alloa Athletic(home)	0-2	League One
Aug 11, 2026	Cumbernauld Colts(home)	4-0	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Peterhead(home)	0-1	League One
Aug 1, 2026	East Kilbride(away)	1-5	League One

Annan Athletic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Berwick Rangers(home)	2-2	Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Edinburgh City(away)	0-1	League Two
Aug 15, 2026	Clyde(home)	1-2	League Two
Aug 11, 2026	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away)	0-1	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Stranraer(away)	1-0	League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Queen of the South win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Annan Athletic win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 5, 2025	Annan Athletic 0-2 Queen of the South	League One
Dec 28, 2024	Queen of the South 1-1 Annan Athletic	League One
Oct 26, 2024	Annan Athletic 1-0 Queen of the South	League One
Aug 17, 2024	Queen of the South 2-0 Annan Athletic	League One
Mar 9, 2024	Annan Athletic 2-1 Queen of the South	League One
Dec 30, 2023	Queen of the South 2-1 Annan Athletic	League One

Last archived meeting: Annan Athletic vs Queen of the South on Apr 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Queen of the South score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Annan Athletic score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Queen of the South	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15
Annan Athletic	1.3	2.2	2	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Queen of the South vs Annan Athletic?: The Footlab model makes Queen of the South the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Annan Athletic.
Where and when is Queen of the South vs Annan Athletic played?: Queen of the South vs Annan Athletic is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Palmerston Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.