Amazonas vs Ypiranga-RS: prediction and stats
Serie CRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus, Amazonas
The Footlab model makes Amazonas the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ypiranga-RS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amazonas vs Ypiranga-RS?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Amazonas (1,757) and Ypiranga-RS (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amazonas have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ypiranga-RS have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Botafogo PB(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maringá(away) | 3-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Inter De Limeira(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 5, 2026 | AO Itabaiana(home) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Floresta(home) | 4-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Barra(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Maranhão(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Amazonas win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ypiranga-RS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2023 | Amazonas 0-0 Ypiranga-RS | Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Amazonas vs Ypiranga-RS on Jul 22, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Amazonas score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ypiranga-RS score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazonas | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ypiranga-RS | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amazonas sit 10th in Serie C (24 points from 17 matches) and Ypiranga-RS sit 9th (25 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ypiranga-RS | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 25 |
| 10 | Amazonas | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amazonas vs Ypiranga-RS?
- The Footlab model makes Amazonas the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ypiranga-RS.
- Where and when is Amazonas vs Ypiranga-RS played?
- Amazonas vs Ypiranga-RS is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, in the Serie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.