Anápolis vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Serie CRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Jonas Duarte, Anápolis, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Anápolis the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anápolis vs Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Anápolis (1,771) and Santa Cruz (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anápolis have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Santa Cruz have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Confiança(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Floresta(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Volta Redonda(away) | 4-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Maringá(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caxias(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maranhão(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botafogo PB(away) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Figueirense(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Barra(away) | 2-1 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Anápolis score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anápolis | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.1 | 0.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anápolis sit 17th in Serie C (18 points from 18 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 4th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 28 |
| 17 | Anápolis | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anápolis vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes Anápolis the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Santa Cruz.
- Where and when is Anápolis vs Santa Cruz played?
- Anápolis vs Santa Cruz is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Jonas Duarte, in the Serie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.