Guarani Campinas vs Brusque: prediction and stats
Serie CRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa, Campinas, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes Guarani Campinas the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Brusque. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guarani Campinas vs Brusque?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Guarani Campinas (1,804) and Brusque (1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guarani Campinas have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Brusque have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Botafogo PB(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Ypiranga-RS(home) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Anápolis(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Inter De Limeira(home) | 3-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Paysandu(away) | 2-3 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter De Limeira(home) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maranhão(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ituano(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 13, 2026 | AO Itabaiana(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Figueirense(home) | 3-1 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Guarani Campinas win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Brusque win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Brusque 3-2 Guarani Campinas | Serie C |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Guarani Campinas 1-0 Brusque | Serie C |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Brusque 1-0 Guarani Campinas | Serie C |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Brusque 2-1 Guarani Campinas | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Guarani Campinas 1-0 Brusque | Serie B |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Guarani Campinas 1-1 Brusque | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Brusque vs Guarani Campinas on Sep 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Guarani Campinas score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brusque score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani Campinas | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Brusque | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guarani Campinas sit 6th in Serie C (27 points from 18 matches) and Brusque sit 2nd (30 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brusque | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 30 |
| 6 | Guarani Campinas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guarani Campinas vs Brusque?
- The Footlab model makes Guarani Campinas the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Brusque.
- Where and when is Guarani Campinas vs Brusque played?
- Guarani Campinas vs Brusque is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa, in the Serie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.