Caxias vs Inter De Limeira: prediction and stats
Serie CRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Stédile, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
The Footlab model makes Caxias the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Inter De Limeira. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caxias vs Inter De Limeira?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Caxias (1,785) and Inter De Limeira (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caxias have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Inter De Limeira have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Figueirense(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AO Itabaiana(away) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Botafogo PB(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Floresta(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Figueirense(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brusque(away) | 2-3 | Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Volta Redonda(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Amazonas(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caxias win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Inter De Limeira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2023 | Caxias 1-1 Inter De Limeira | Serie D |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Inter De Limeira 0-1 Caxias | Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Caxias vs Inter De Limeira on Aug 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Caxias score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Inter De Limeira score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caxias | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Inter De Limeira | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caxias sit 11th in Serie C (24 points from 18 matches) and Inter De Limeira sit 5th (28 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Inter De Limeira | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 28 |
| 11 | Caxias | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caxias vs Inter De Limeira?
- The Footlab model makes Caxias the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Inter De Limeira.
- Where and when is Caxias vs Inter De Limeira played?
- Caxias vs Inter De Limeira is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Francisco Stédile, in the Serie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.