America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali
The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Águilas Doradas. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas?
America de Cali starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America de Cali have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Águilas Doradas have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chico(home) | 7-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Santa Fe(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| May 26, 2026 | Real Soacha(away) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 America de Cali win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Águilas Doradas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Águilas Doradas 0-1 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Jul 27, 2025 | America de Cali 2-1 Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Águilas Doradas 0-1 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Águilas Doradas 1-2 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Jan 21, 2024 | America de Cali 0-1 Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Águilas Doradas 2-2 America de Cali | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Águilas Doradas vs America de Cali on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
America de Cali score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America de Cali | 1.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Águilas Doradas | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
America de Cali sit 4th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Águilas Doradas sit 12th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 6 | America de Cali | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 34 |
| 6 | Águilas Doradas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas?
- The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Águilas Doradas.
- Where and when is America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas played?
- America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026ChicovsDeportivo Pasto
- Sep 27, 2026JaguaresvsAlianza Valledupar
- Sep 27, 2026JuniorvsIndependiente Medellin
- Sep 27, 2026Once CaldasvsBucaramanga
- Sep 27, 2026Atletico NacionalvsMillonarios
- Sep 27, 2026Santa FevsDeportivo Cali
- Sep 27, 2026Fortaleza FCvsDeportes Tolima
- Sep 27, 2026Deportivo PereiravsInternacional de Bogota