Where and when is Chico vs Deportivo Pasto played?

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Independencia, Tunja

Chico

Deportivo Pasto

The Footlab model makes Chico the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Deportivo Pasto. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Chico (1,582) and Deportivo Pasto (1,666).

Chico win38 %

Draw30 %

Deportivo Pasto win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chico have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Deportivo Pasto have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chico
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Jaguares(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	America de Cali(away)	0-7	Primera A
May 27, 2026	Llaneros(home)	0-1	Copa Colombia
May 23, 2026	Millonarios(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

Deportivo Pasto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Llaneros(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Cali(home)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Millonarios(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Águilas Doradas(home)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Bogota FC(away)	3-0	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chico win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Deportivo Pasto win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 18, 2026	Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Chico	Primera A
Sep 5, 2025	Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Chico	Primera A
Jul 26, 2025	Chico 2-2 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A
Mar 22, 2025	Chico 0-0 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A
Feb 12, 2025	Deportivo Pasto 3-0 Chico	Primera A
Sep 22, 2024	Chico 1-0 Deportivo Pasto	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pasto vs Chico on Mar 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chico score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chico	0.8	1.7	5	2/15	6/15
Deportivo Pasto	1.0	1.6	3	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chico sit 18th in Primera A (17 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd (34 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	34
7	Deportivo Pasto	21	10	4	7	29	28	34
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	17
19	Deportivo Pasto	5	0	0	5	3	10	0
20	Chico	3	0	0	3	0	10	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?: The Footlab model makes Chico the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Deportivo Pasto.
Where and when is Chico vs Deportivo Pasto played?: Chico vs Deportivo Pasto is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.