Where and when is Junior vs Independiente Medellin played?

Junior vs Independiente Medellin is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Junior vs Independiente Medellin: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla

Junior

Independiente Medellin

The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Independiente Medellin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Junior vs Independiente Medellin?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Junior (1,787) and Independiente Medellin (1,821).

Junior win47 %

Draw28 %

Independiente Medellin win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junior have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Junior
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Once Caldas(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Millonarios(home)	0-1	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Barranquilla(away)	3-3	Copa Colombia
Jul 26, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 23, 2026	Barranquilla(home)	2-2	Copa Colombia

Independiente Medellin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Cucuta(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	3-2	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Cali(home)	1-0	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Vasco DA Gama(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(home)	3-2	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Junior win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Independiente Medellin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 20, 2026	Independiente Medellin 2-0 Junior	Primera A
Dec 8, 2025	Independiente Medellin 2-1 Junior	Primera A
Nov 20, 2025	Junior 1-0 Independiente Medellin	Primera A
Sep 21, 2025	Independiente Medellin 2-2 Junior	Primera A
Jun 11, 2025	Independiente Medellin 1-0 Junior	Primera A
Jun 8, 2025	Junior 0-1 Independiente Medellin	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Junior on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Medellin score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Junior	1.5	1.5	3	9/15	8/15
Independiente Medellin	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Junior sit 2nd in Primera A (35 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	35
2	Junior	25	13	5	7	38	28	44
4	Independiente Medellin	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	26
18	Junior	3	0	1	2	2	4	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Junior vs Independiente Medellin?: The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Independiente Medellin.
Where and when is Junior vs Independiente Medellin played?: Junior vs Independiente Medellin is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.