Where and when is Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar played?

Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, Montería

Jaguares

Alianza Valledupar

The Footlab model makes Jaguares the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Alianza Valledupar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Jaguares (1,634) and Alianza Valledupar (1,659).

Jaguares win47 %

Draw29 %

Alianza Valledupar win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguares have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Alianza Valledupar have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jaguares
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chico(home)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Once Caldas(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	0-3	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Cali(away)	0-2	Primera A

Alianza Valledupar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	2-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportes Tolima(home)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Fortaleza FC(home)	1-1	Primera A
May 24, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	2-1	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jaguares win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Alianza Valledupar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 19, 2026	Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Jaguares	Primera A
Nov 10, 2024	Jaguares 0-0 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Apr 21, 2024	Alianza Valledupar 2-1 Jaguares	Primera A
Sep 22, 2023	Jaguares 0-0 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Apr 15, 2023	Alianza Valledupar 3-0 Jaguares	Primera A
Jul 30, 2022	Jaguares 2-1 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Alianza Valledupar vs Jaguares on Mar 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jaguares	1.0	1.3	5	6/15	7/15
Alianza Valledupar	1.1	1.1	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jaguares sit 16th in Primera A (18 points from 19 matches) and Alianza Valledupar sit 17th (17 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Jaguares	5	1	1	3	2	7	4
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17
17	Alianza Valledupar	4	0	2	2	4	6	2
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?: The Footlab model makes Jaguares the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Alianza Valledupar.
Where and when is Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar played?: Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.