Match

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.

Santa FeDeportivo Cali

The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Deportivo Cali. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?

Santa Fe starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,743).

Santa Fe win47 %
Draw30 %
Deportivo Cali win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Fe have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Deportivo Cali have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santa Fe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026America de Cali(home)0-0Primera A
Aug 20, 2026River Plate(home)0-0CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 8, 2026Chico(home)2-0Primera A
Aug 6, 2026Union Magdalena(home)2-0Copa Colombia
Aug 3, 2026Once Caldas(home)2-2Primera A
Deportivo Cali
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)2-2Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Pasto(away)2-0Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)0-1Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Jaguares(home)2-0Primera A
May 24, 2026Real Santander(away)2-1Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Santa Fe win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Deportivo Cali win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 19, 2026Deportivo Cali 1-1 Santa FePrimera A
Nov 10, 2025Santa Fe 1-0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
May 17, 2025Deportivo Cali 0-2 Santa FePrimera A
Aug 21, 2024Deportivo Cali 1-3 Santa FePrimera A
Feb 14, 2024Santa Fe 1-0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Sep 7, 2023Deportivo Cali 2-2 Santa FePrimera A

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cali vs Santa Fe on Mar 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Santa Fe1.50.596/155/15
Deportivo Cali1.50.766/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santa Fe sit 7th in Primera A (29 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Cali sit 9th (27 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Santa Fe238114352435
7Deportivo Cali4211637
7Santa Fe19784292229
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
11Santa Fe4121545

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?
The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Deportivo Cali.
Where and when is Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali played?
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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