Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Deportivo Cali. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?
Santa Fe starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Fe have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Deportivo Cali have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | America de Cali(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | River Plate(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chico(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 2-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Santa Fe win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Deportivo Cali win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Deportivo Cali 1-1 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Santa Fe 1-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| May 17, 2025 | Deportivo Cali 0-2 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Deportivo Cali 1-3 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Santa Fe 1-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Sep 7, 2023 | Deportivo Cali 2-2 Santa Fe | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cali vs Santa Fe on Mar 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Deportivo Cali | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Fe sit 7th in Primera A (29 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Cali sit 9th (27 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 35 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 29 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Deportivo Cali.
- Where and when is Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali played?
- Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026ChicovsDeportivo Pasto
- Sep 27, 2026JaguaresvsAlianza Valledupar
- Sep 27, 2026JuniorvsIndependiente Medellin
- Sep 27, 2026Once CaldasvsBucaramanga
- Sep 27, 2026Atletico NacionalvsMillonarios
- Sep 27, 2026America de CalivsÁguilas Doradas
- Sep 27, 2026Fortaleza FCvsDeportes Tolima
- Sep 27, 2026Deportivo PereiravsInternacional de Bogota