Where and when is Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga played?

Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Palogrande, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Palogrande, Manizales

Once Caldas

Bucaramanga

The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Bucaramanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Once Caldas (1,818) and Bucaramanga (1,740).

Once Caldas win49 %

Draw28 %

Bucaramanga win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Once Caldas have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Bucaramanga have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Once Caldas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Junior(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Jaguares(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 6, 2026	America de Cali(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 3, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	2-2	Primera A
Jul 30, 2026	Envigado(away)	3-0	Copa Colombia

Bucaramanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	3-2	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Cucuta(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 31, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Millonarios(away)	1-0	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Once Caldas win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Bucaramanga win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 19, 2026	Bucaramanga 1-1 Once Caldas	Primera A
Sep 10, 2025	Bucaramanga 0-0 Once Caldas	Primera A
Feb 9, 2025	Once Caldas 2-1 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Aug 11, 2024	Once Caldas 2-1 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Feb 10, 2024	Bucaramanga 1-1 Once Caldas	Primera A
Aug 25, 2023	Once Caldas 1-0 Bucaramanga	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas on Mar 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Once Caldas score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaramanga score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Once Caldas	1.6	0.9	4	9/15	7/15
Bucaramanga	1.5	1.4	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Once Caldas sit 5th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Bucaramanga sit 13th (23 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Bucaramanga	5	2	3	0	6	4	9
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	33
5	Once Caldas	21	8	10	3	33	25	34
9	Once Caldas	5	1	3	1	9	6	6
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga?: The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Bucaramanga.
Where and when is Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga played?: Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Palogrande, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.