Where and when is Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica played?

Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, Warszawa

Polonia Warszawa

Miedz Legnica

The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Miedz Legnica. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Polonia Warszawa (1,886) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).

Polonia Warszawa win38 %

Draw27 %

Miedz Legnica win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Warszawa have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Warszawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	3-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(home)	3-1	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(away)	1-0	I Liga

Miedz Legnica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	2-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	3-0	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	2-0	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Polonia Warszawa win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Miedz Legnica win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Miedz Legnica	I Liga
Sep 14, 2025	Miedz Legnica 1-1 Polonia Warszawa	I Liga
Mar 2, 2025	Miedz Legnica 2-3 Polonia Warszawa	I Liga
Aug 17, 2024	Polonia Warszawa 0-1 Miedz Legnica	I Liga
Feb 23, 2024	Miedz Legnica 2-1 Polonia Warszawa	I Liga
Aug 14, 2023	Polonia Warszawa 3-4 Miedz Legnica	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Warszawa	1.5	1.7	1	10/15	10/15
Miedz Legnica	1.3	1.1	6	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Warszawa sit 4th in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Miedz Legnica	5	3	1	1	8	2	10
4	Polonia Warszawa	5	3	1	1	8	4	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Miedz Legnica.
Where and when is Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica played?: Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.