Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?

Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Ruch Chorzów

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,862) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1,835).

Ruch Chorzów win45 %

Draw27 %

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ruch Chorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-2	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	0-2	I Liga

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Miedz Legnica(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	1-0	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Ruch Chorzów 2-2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	I Liga
Oct 17, 2025	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2-2 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
Mar 12, 2022	Ruch Chorzów 4-1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	II Liga - East
Aug 28, 2021	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1-1 Ruch Chorzów	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on Apr 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ruch Chorzów	1.2	1.2	5	6/15	5/15
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1.1	1.2	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	5	3	2	0	8	3	11
10	Ruch Chorzów	5	2	1	2	3	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?: Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.