Match

Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań

Warta PoznańŁKS Łódź

The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for ŁKS Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Warta Poznań (1,884) and ŁKS Łódź (1,898).

Warta Poznań win41 %
Draw26 %
ŁKS Łódź win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; ŁKS Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Poznań
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Odra Opole(away)1-3I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Nieciecza(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)0-1Cup
Jul 31, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)3-0I Liga
ŁKS Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stal Mielec(home)4-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Nieciecza(home)2-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)1-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Polonia Bytom(home)2-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)1-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Warta Poznań win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 ŁKS Łódź win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2025ŁKS Łódź 3-1 Warta PoznańI Liga
Aug 20, 2024Warta Poznań 2-4 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga
Mar 11, 2024Warta Poznań 0-1 ŁKS ŁódźEkstraklasa
Sep 1, 2023ŁKS Łódź 0-2 Warta PoznańEkstraklasa
Mar 16, 2019ŁKS Łódź 3-0 Warta PoznańI Liga
Aug 25, 2018Warta Poznań 0-2 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga

Last archived meeting: ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań on Mar 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warta Poznań1.71.659/1510/15
ŁKS Łódź1.91.3211/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3ŁKS Łódź531110510
6Warta Poznań53021089

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź?
The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for ŁKS Łódź.
Where and when is Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź played?
Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Warta Poznań and ŁKS Łódź

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