Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań
The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for ŁKS Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Warta Poznań (1,884) and ŁKS Łódź (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; ŁKS Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stal Mielec(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Warta Poznań win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 ŁKS Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | ŁKS Łódź 3-1 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Warta Poznań 2-4 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Warta Poznań 0-1 ŁKS Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 1, 2023 | ŁKS Łódź 0-2 Warta Poznań | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 16, 2019 | ŁKS Łódź 3-0 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Warta Poznań 0-2 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: ŁKS Łódź vs Warta Poznań on Mar 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Poznań | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| ŁKS Łódź | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ŁKS Łódź | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Warta Poznań | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for ŁKS Łódź.
- Where and when is Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź played?
- Warta Poznań vs ŁKS Łódź is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Arka GdyniavsNieciecza
- Oct 24, 2026Odra OpolevsPogoń Siedlce
- Oct 24, 2026PodbeskidzievsStal Rzeszów
- Oct 24, 2026Puszcza NiepołomicevsLechia Gdansk
- Oct 24, 2026Stal MielecvsChrobry Głogów
- Oct 24, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Oct 24, 2026Unia SkierniewicevsPolonia Bytom
- Oct 24, 2026Polonia WarszawavsMiedz Legnica