Where and when is Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce played?

Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Itaka Arena, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Itaka Arena, Opole

Odra Opole

Pogoń Siedlce

The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Odra Opole (1,803) and Pogoń Siedlce (1,759).

Odra Opole win46 %

Draw29 %

Pogoń Siedlce win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Opole have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Odra Opole
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Podbeskidzie(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	3-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(away)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 3, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	0-1	I Liga

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Odra Opole win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Pogoń Siedlce win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 6, 2026	Odra Opole 1-0 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Aug 3, 2025	Pogoń Siedlce 0-1 Odra Opole	I Liga
Dec 8, 2024	Pogoń Siedlce 0-1 Odra Opole	I Liga
Jul 28, 2024	Odra Opole 4-1 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce on Feb 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Odra Opole	1.1	1.2	5	7/15	6/15
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Odra Opole sit 9th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Odra Opole	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce?: The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce played?: Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Itaka Arena, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.