Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom played?

Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice

Unia Skierniewice

Polonia Bytom

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Unia Skierniewice (1,912) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).

Unia Skierniewice win49 %

Draw24 %

Polonia Bytom win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Skierniewice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-3	I Liga
Aug 10, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	2-0	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Sokół Kleczew(home)	2-2	Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-3	I Liga

Polonia Bytom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	2-5	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	4-3	I Liga

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Skierniewice	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	11/15
Polonia Bytom	2.1	2.3	2	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Unia Skierniewice	5	2	0	3	5	8	6
15	Polonia Bytom	5	1	2	2	11	14	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom?: The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Polonia Bytom.
Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom played?: Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.