Atletico Madrid vs Getafe: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Getafe. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?
Atletico Madrid starts as the favourite with a 237-point Elo edge (2,255 vs 2,018).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Madrid vs Getafe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2- 7Lee Kang-In
- 15J. David
- 20G. Simeone
- 5J. Cardoso
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 10Álex Baena
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 22Álex Grimaldo
- 21C. Romero
- 17D. Hancko
- 13J. Oblak
Getafe
5-4-1- 20Iván Azón
- 11Ramón Terrats
- 16Francho Serrano
- 21Andrés García
- 6Mario Martín
- 2D. Dakonam
- 8N. Gudelj
- 24Z. Romero
- 22J. Mojica
- 17Kiko Femenía
- 13David Soria
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Madrid have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Getafe have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Atletico Madrid wins, 0 draws, 1 Getafe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Atletico Madrid 4-1 Getafe | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Getafe 0-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Getafe 2-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Atletico Madrid 5-0 Getafe | Copa del Rey |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Madrid vs Getafe on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Madrid score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Getafe score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Getafe | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Madrid sit 2nd in La Liga (19 points from 8 matches) and Getafe sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 19 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Getafe.
- Where and when is Atletico Madrid vs Getafe played?
- Atletico Madrid vs Getafe is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.