Match

Sevilla vs Elche: prediction and stats

La LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla

SevillaElche

The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Elche. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sevilla wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sevilla vs Elche?

On Elo ratings, Sevilla has 2,042 points and Elche 2,022.

51%26%23%
Sevilla winDrawElche win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sevilla vs Elche

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
  1. 9R. Ure
  1. 6L. Agoumé
  2. 24Y. Fofana
  3. 20Félix Correia
  4. 8G. Kochorashvili
  5. 30Miguel Ángel
  1. 5Andrés Castrín
  2. 17G. Suazo
  3. 2Juan Iglesias
  4. 4Kike Salas
  1. 1O. Vlachodimos

Elche

5-3-2
  1. 14Fer Niño
  2. 20Tete Morente
  1. 12Gonzalo Villar
  2. 8Marc Aguado
  3. 18T. Lemar
  1. 11Germán Valera
  2. 23Víctor Chust
  3. 3R. Revivo
  4. 47J. Morcillo
  5. 2Buba Sangaré
  1. 1M. Dituro

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:06 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Elche have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sevilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Levante(away)3-3La Liga
Oct 2, 2026Aston Villa(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Barcelona(home)1-3La Liga
Sep 16, 2026Deportivo La Coruna(away)1-0La Liga
Sep 11, 2026Valencia(home)1-0La Liga
Elche
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Celta Vigo(home)0-0La Liga
Sep 18, 2026Espanyol(away)3-1La Liga
Sep 15, 2026Real Madrid(home)2-3La Liga
Sep 12, 2026Athletic Club(away)1-1La Liga
Sep 7, 2026Real Sociedad(home)2-3La Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sevilla wins, 4 draws, 0 Elche wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 19, 2026Elche 2-2 SevillaLa Liga
Sep 12, 2025Sevilla 2-2 ElcheLa Liga
May 24, 2023Elche 1-1 SevillaLa Liga
Jan 28, 2023Sevilla 3-0 ElcheLa Liga
Feb 11, 2022Sevilla 2-0 ElcheLa Liga
Aug 28, 2021Elche 1-1 SevillaLa Liga

Last archived meeting: Elche vs Sevilla on Jan 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sevilla score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Elche score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sevilla1.31.3410/159/15
Elche1.41.7212/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sevilla sit 5th in La Liga (14 points from 8 matches) and Elche sit 18th (6 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Sevilla8422131214
18Elche813411176

A question about Sevilla vs Elche?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sevilla vs Elche?
The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Elche.
Where and when is Sevilla vs Elche played?
Sevilla vs Elche is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, in the La Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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