Match

Sporting Kansas City vs Austin: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, Kansas

Sporting Kansas CityAustin

The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Kansas City the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Austin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Kansas City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Austin?

On Elo ratings, Sporting Kansas City has 1,675 points and Austin 1,787.

43%24%33%
Sporting Kansas City winDrawAustin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sporting Kansas City vs Austin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sporting Kansas City

4-4-2
  1. 19T. Calheira
  2. 17S. Afrifa
  1. 11André Luiz
  2. 20K. Agyabeng
  3. 14C. Harris
  4. 22Z. Bassong
  1. 28Wyatt Meyer
  2. 15Jansen Miller
  3. 18E. Karić
  4. 13J. Reynolds
  1. 30S. Cleveland

Austin

3-4-3
  1. 9B. Vázquez
  2. 21C. Ramirez
  3. 11F. Torres
  1. 17J. Gallagher
  2. 38Ervin Torres
  3. 14B. Šabović
  4. 30J. Rosales
  1. 4B. Hines-Ike
  2. 15J. Bell
  3. 5O. Svatok
  1. 1B. Stuver

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:47 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Kansas City have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Austin have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting Kansas City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Real Salt Lake(home)1-3Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2026Nashville SC(away)0-4Major League Soccer
Oct 11, 2026Portland Timbers(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Austin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2026Los Angeles FC(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Oct 11, 2026Nashville SC(home)1-4Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026San Diego(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026FC Dallas(away)0-0Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sporting Kansas City wins, 0 draws, 3 Austin wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Austin 1-2 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Feb 14, 2026Sporting Kansas City 2-0 AustinFriendlies Clubs
Sep 7, 2025Sporting Kansas City 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025Austin 1-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024Sporting Kansas City 2-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
May 19, 2024Austin 3-2 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Austin vs Sporting Kansas City on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting Kansas City score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sporting Kansas City1.32.419/1511/15
Austin1.31.5212/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting Kansas City sit 15th in Major League Soccer (22 points from 30 matches) and Austin sit 14th (31 points from 30 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Austin3071013385631
15Sporting Kansas City306420367522

A question about Sporting Kansas City vs Austin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs Austin?
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Kansas City the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Austin.
Where and when is Sporting Kansas City vs Austin played?
Sporting Kansas City vs Austin is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Children's Mercy Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sporting Kansas City and Austin

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