Match

Avispa Fukuoka vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa FukuokaKawasaki Frontale

The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Kawasaki Frontale?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Avispa Fukuoka (1,926) and Kawasaki Frontale (1,961).

Avispa Fukuoka win41 %
Draw27 %
Kawasaki Frontale win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avispa Fukuoka have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avispa Fukuoka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Verspah Oita(home)0-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Kashima(away)2-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)3-0J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)0-1J1 League
Jul 19, 2026Osaka(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Kawasaki Frontale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Tochigi SC(home)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)1-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Aug 9, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)1-1J1 League
Jul 16, 2026Vanraure Hachinohe(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Avispa Fukuoka win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2025Kawasaki Frontale 2-5 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Feb 26, 2025Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Dec 8, 2024Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
May 6, 2024Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Oct 20, 2023Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Oct 8, 2023Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 Avispa FukuokaEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka on Aug 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Avispa Fukuoka1.41.3210/158/15
Kawasaki Frontale1.11.129/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Avispa Fukuoka3102543
14Kawasaki Frontale3030443

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kawasaki Frontale.
Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Avispa Fukuoka and Kawasaki Frontale

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