Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga played?

Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

Kyoto Sanga

The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Avispa Fukuoka (1,926) and Kyoto Sanga (1,907).

Avispa Fukuoka win47 %

Draw26 %

Kyoto Sanga win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avispa Fukuoka have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avispa Fukuoka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	0-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kashima(away)	2-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(home)	3-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Osaka(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Maruyasu Okazaki(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Avispa Fukuoka win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 6, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Feb 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League
Jul 21, 2025	Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Mar 9, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League
Jul 7, 2024	Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
May 11, 2024	Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga on May 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Avispa Fukuoka	1.4	1.3	2	10/15	8/15
Kyoto Sanga	0.9	2.1	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Avispa Fukuoka	3	1	0	2	5	4	3
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?: The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga played?: Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.