Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?

Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto Sanga

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,907).

Kyoto Sanga win23 %

Draw24 %

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Maruyasu Okazaki(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Urawa(away)	4-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	3-0	J1 League
Jul 28, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Kyoto Sanga 0-4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Feb 27, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Sep 12, 2025	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Mar 29, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Nov 3, 2024	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
May 19, 2024	Kyoto Sanga 0-5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kyoto Sanga	0.9	2.1	3	8/15	9/15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2.3	1.1	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3	2	1	0	8	2	7
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?: The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?: Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.