Match

Urawa vs Avispa Fukuoka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

UrawaAvispa Fukuoka

The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Avispa Fukuoka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs Avispa Fukuoka?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Urawa (1,932) and Avispa Fukuoka (1,926).

Urawa win39 %
Draw27 %
Avispa Fukuoka win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Avispa Fukuoka have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Yamanashi Gakuin(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Avispa Fukuoka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Verspah Oita(home)0-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Kashima(away)2-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)3-0J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)0-1J1 League
Jul 19, 2026Osaka(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Urawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Avispa Fukuoka win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 27, 2025Urawa 0-0 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Apr 6, 2025Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 UrawaJ1 League
Nov 30, 2024Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 UrawaJ1 League
Mar 30, 2024Urawa 2-1 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Nov 25, 2023Urawa 2-3 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Nov 4, 2023Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 UrawaJ-League Cup

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Avispa Fukuoka on Jul 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Urawa1.71.758/158/15
Avispa Fukuoka1.41.3210/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Avispa Fukuoka3102543
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Avispa Fukuoka?
The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Avispa Fukuoka.
Where and when is Urawa vs Avispa Fukuoka played?
Urawa vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Urawa and Avispa Fukuoka

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