Match

Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 16Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)K’s Denki Stadium, Mito

Mito HollyhockTokyo Verdy

The Footlab AI model makes Tokyo Verdy the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tokyo Verdy wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Mito Hollyhock (1,843) and Tokyo Verdy (1,922).

31%28%41%
Mito Hollyhock winDrawTokyo Verdy win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mito Hollyhock

4-4-2
  1. 30J. Okumura
  2. 9R. Nemoto
  1. 19T. Semba
  2. 44M. Nishihara
  3. 20Y. Funabashi
  4. 22K. Taniguchi
  1. 17K. Itakura
  2. 3K. Osaki
  3. 16Y. Tamura
  4. 25T. Mase
  1. 27J. Słowik

Tokyo Verdy

4-4-2
  1. 33K. Ichimi
  2. 9I. Someno
  1. 40Y. Arai
  2. 19K. Fujimoto
  3. 16R. Hirakawa
  4. 8K. Saito
  1. 4N. Hayashi
  2. 18S. Mizoguchi
  3. 96Cho Yu-Min
  4. 22Y. Uchida
  1. 1Matheus Vidotto

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:07 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mito Hollyhock have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mito Hollyhock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-1J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-3J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-3J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-6J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-2J1 League
Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)1-0J1 League
Nov 1, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)2-1J1 League
Oct 24, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026FC Tokyo(home)0-4J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mito Hollyhock win, 1 draw, 4 Tokyo Verdy wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Feb 8, 2026Tokyo Verdy 3-1 Mito HollyhockJ1 League
Jul 29, 2023Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Mito HollyhockJ2 League
Apr 29, 2023Mito Hollyhock 0-2 Tokyo VerdyJ2 League
Sep 21, 2022Mito Hollyhock 1-2 Tokyo VerdyJ2 League
May 14, 2022Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Mito HollyhockJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mito Hollyhock1.11.735/156/15
Tokyo Verdy1.11.447/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mito Hollyhock sit 19th in J1 League (9 points from 14 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 14th (14 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Tokyo Verdy14356122214
19Mito Hollyhock1423912269

A question about Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
The Footlab AI model makes Tokyo Verdy the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy played?
Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mito Hollyhock and Tokyo Verdy