Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy played?

Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)K’s Denki Stadium, Mito

Mito Hollyhock

Tokyo Verdy

The Footlab model makes Mito Hollyhock the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Mito Hollyhock (1,829) and Tokyo Verdy (1,869).

Mito Hollyhock win43 %

Draw29 %

Tokyo Verdy win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mito Hollyhock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	0-1	J1 League
May 30, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	0-1	J1 League

Tokyo Verdy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	2-4	J1 League
May 30, 2026	Gamba Osaka(away)	1-1	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mito Hollyhock win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tokyo Verdy win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Feb 8, 2026	Tokyo Verdy 3-1 Mito Hollyhock	J1 League
Jul 29, 2023	Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League
Apr 29, 2023	Mito Hollyhock 0-2 Tokyo Verdy	J2 League
Sep 21, 2022	Mito Hollyhock 1-2 Tokyo Verdy	J2 League
May 14, 2022	Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mito Hollyhock	1.1	1.8	1	10/15	7/15
Tokyo Verdy	0.9	1.5	5	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mito Hollyhock sit 7th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mito Hollyhock	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?: The Footlab model makes Mito Hollyhock the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy played?: Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.