Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus played?

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

Nagoya Grampus

The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Avispa Fukuoka (1,926) and Nagoya Grampus (1,953).

Avispa Fukuoka win43 %

Draw26 %

Nagoya Grampus win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avispa Fukuoka have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avispa Fukuoka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	0-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kashima(away)	2-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(home)	3-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Osaka(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Avispa Fukuoka win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Nagoya Grampus win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League
Mar 7, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka 1-5 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Dec 6, 2025	Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League
May 17, 2025	Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Oct 4, 2024	Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Apr 7, 2024	Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Avispa Fukuoka	1.4	1.3	2	10/15	8/15
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Avispa Fukuoka	3	1	0	2	5	4	3
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?: The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus played?: Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.