Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs Cardiff Draconians played?

Baglan Dragons vs Cardiff Draconians is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Baglan Dragons vs Cardiff Draconians: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 18Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot

Baglan Dragons

Cardiff Draconians

The Footlab model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Baglan Dragons. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Cardiff Draconians?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Baglan Dragons (1,472) and Cardiff Draconians (1,547).

Baglan Dragons win29 %

Draw25 %

Cardiff Draconians win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Cardiff Draconians have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Baglan Dragons
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Newport City(away)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Llantwit Major(away)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Swansea University(home)	0-3	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(home)	1-1	FAW Championship

Cardiff Draconians
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	llanelli AFC(home)	4-2	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pontypridd Town(home)	1-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Ynyshir Albions(away)	0-1	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Afan Lido(home)	4-1	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Baglan Dragons win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cardiff Draconians win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	Cardiff Draconians 3-1 Baglan Dragons	FAW Championship
Sep 13, 2025	Baglan Dragons 0-0 Cardiff Draconians	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Baglan Dragons score 0.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff Draconians score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Baglan Dragons	0.5	2.1	4	4/15	7/15
Cardiff Draconians	1.7	2.0	1	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Cardiff Draconians sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	4	2	1	1	2	3	7
10	Cardiff Draconians	4	1	1	2	5	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Baglan Dragons vs Cardiff Draconians?: The Footlab model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Baglan Dragons.
Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs Cardiff Draconians played?: Baglan Dragons vs Cardiff Draconians is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.