llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 18Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
The Footlab AI model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 1-1. If llanelli AFC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate llanelli AFC (1,535) and Llantwit Major (1,562).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
llanelli AFC
Not enough data to predict the llanelli AFC lineup.
Llantwit Major
Not enough data to predict the Llantwit Major lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Llantwit Major have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-6 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 llanelli AFC wins, 1 draw, 1 Llantwit Major win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llantwit Major 2-0 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jan 17, 2025 | llanelli AFC 2-0 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Llantwit Major 2-2 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Mar 8, 2024 | llanelli AFC 2-1 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Oct 13, 2023 | llanelli AFC 4-0 Llantwit Major | Welsh Cup |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Llantwit Major 2-5 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Llantwit Major vs llanelli AFC on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 0.8 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 1.2 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 0.8 | 3.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Llantwit Major | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
llanelli AFC sit 16th in FAW Championship (2 points from 11 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 2 |
A question about llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major?
- The Footlab AI model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Llantwit Major.
- Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major played?
- llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 18, 2026Pontypridd TownvsYnyshir Albions
- Dec 18, 2026Afan LidovsCarmarthen Town
- Dec 18, 2026Swansea UniversityvsCaerau (Ely)
- Dec 18, 2026Trethomas BluebirdsvsTreowen Stars
- Dec 18, 2026Baglan DragonsvsCardiff Draconians
- Dec 18, 2026Newport CityvsCaerphilly Athletic
- Dec 19, 2026Pontardawe TownvsAberystwyth Town