Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major played?

llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 18Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire

llanelli AFC

Llantwit Major

The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate llanelli AFC (1,557) and Llantwit Major (1,483).

llanelli AFC win53 %

Draw22 %

Llantwit Major win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Llantwit Major have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

llanelli AFC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Swansea University(away)	0-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(home)	1-1	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Newport City(home)	1-4	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Haverfordwest County AFC(away)	0-6	Premier League

Llantwit Major
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(away)	1-5	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	0-5	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Swansea University(home)	0-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cambrian & Clydach(home)	1-3	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 llanelli AFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Llantwit Major win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 17, 2025	llanelli AFC 2-0 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship
Aug 10, 2024	Llantwit Major 2-2 llanelli AFC	FAW Championship
Mar 8, 2024	llanelli AFC 2-1 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship
Oct 13, 2023	llanelli AFC 4-0 Llantwit Major	Welsh Cup
Aug 28, 2023	Llantwit Major 2-5 llanelli AFC	FAW Championship
Feb 17, 2023	llanelli AFC 1-2 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major on Jan 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
llanelli AFC	0.7	2.7	1	8/15	9/15
Llantwit Major	1.5	2.5	1	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

llanelli AFC sit 15th in FAW Championship (1 points from 4 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	llanelli AFC	4	0	1	3	4	12	1
16	Llantwit Major	4	0	0	4	1	14	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major?: The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Llantwit Major.
Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major played?: llanelli AFC vs Llantwit Major is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.