Pontardawe Town vs Aberystwyth Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parc Ynysderw, Swansea
The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Pontardawe Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aberystwyth Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,680 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Aberystwyth Town?
Aberystwyth Town starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,485).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontardawe Town vs Aberystwyth Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontardawe Town
4-3-3- RR. Booth
- LL. Reed
- JJ. Dorward
- RR. Kostromin
- AA. Legavec
- CC. Dolman
- CC. Davies
- TT. Georgievsky
- HH. Lawson
- JJ. Dolman
- SS. Reeve
Aberystwyth Town
Not enough data to predict the Aberystwyth Town lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontardawe Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llangennech(away) | 1-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 6-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Prestatyn Town(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Pontardawe Town wins, 0 draws, 2 Aberystwyth Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town 1-0 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Pontardawe Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Aberystwyth Town vs Pontardawe Town on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pontardawe Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontardawe Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Aberystwyth Town | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontardawe Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (10 points from 9 matches) and Aberystwyth Town sit 3rd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
A question about Pontardawe Town vs Aberystwyth Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontardawe Town vs Aberystwyth Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Pontardawe Town.
- Where and when is Pontardawe Town vs Aberystwyth Town played?
- Pontardawe Town vs Aberystwyth Town is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parc Ynysderw, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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