Balkan Botevgrad vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, Botevgrad
The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Strumska Slava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balkan Botevgrad vs Strumska Slava?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Balkan Botevgrad (1,484) and Strumska Slava (1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balkan Botevgrad have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Strumska Slava have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Balkan Botevgrad win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Strumska Slava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strumska Slava 2-0 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad 1-2 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Strumska Slava 5-0 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Strumska Slava vs Balkan Botevgrad on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balkan Botevgrad | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Strumska Slava | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Balkan Botevgrad | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balkan Botevgrad vs Strumska Slava?
- The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Strumska Slava.
- Where and when is Balkan Botevgrad vs Strumska Slava played?
- Balkan Botevgrad vs Strumska Slava is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026BelasitsavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 21, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBansko
- Nov 21, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKyustendil
- Nov 21, 2026KostinbrodvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 21, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 21, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 21, 2026Natsional SofiavsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 21, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsOborishte