Chavdar Etropole vs Bansko: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar, Etropole
The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Bansko. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chavdar Etropole vs Bansko?
Chavdar Etropole starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,491).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chavdar Etropole have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bansko have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(home) | 4-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chavdar Etropole win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bansko win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bansko 3-0 Chavdar Etropole | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Bansko 2-2 Chavdar Etropole | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Bansko 0-3 Chavdar Etropole | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Chavdar Etropole 2-0 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Chavdar Etropole 3-2 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Bansko 0-0 Chavdar Etropole | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Bansko vs Chavdar Etropole on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chavdar Etropole | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Bansko | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chavdar Etropole sit 14th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Bansko sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bansko | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Chavdar Etropole | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chavdar Etropole vs Bansko?
- The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Bansko.
- Where and when is Chavdar Etropole vs Bansko played?
- Chavdar Etropole vs Bansko is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsStrumska Slava
- Nov 21, 2026BelasitsavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 21, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKyustendil
- Nov 21, 2026KostinbrodvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 21, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 21, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 21, 2026Natsional SofiavsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 21, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsOborishte