Match

Chavdar Etropole vs Bansko: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar, Etropole

Chavdar EtropoleBansko

The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Bansko. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chavdar Etropole vs Bansko?

Chavdar Etropole starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,491).

Chavdar Etropole win53 %
Draw24 %
Bansko win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chavdar Etropole have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bansko have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chavdar Etropole
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Septemvri Simitli(home)4-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Strumska Slava(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Oborishte(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Bansko(away)0-3Third League - Southwest
Feb 17, 2024CSKA Sofia II(away)0-3Third League - Southwest
Bansko
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Pirin Razlog(home)3-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Natsional Sofia(away)2-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Chavdar Etropole(home)3-0Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)0-2Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chavdar Etropole win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bansko win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Bansko 3-0 Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest
Oct 7, 2023Bansko 2-2 Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest
Nov 12, 2022Bansko 0-3 Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest
Aug 27, 2022Chavdar Etropole 2-0 BanskoThird League - Southwest
Jun 4, 2022Chavdar Etropole 3-2 BanskoThird League - Southwest
Nov 27, 2021Bansko 0-0 Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Bansko vs Chavdar Etropole on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chavdar Etropole2.21.167/1510/15
Bansko1.71.167/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chavdar Etropole sit 14th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Bansko sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bansko431010410
14Chavdar Etropole4112684

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chavdar Etropole vs Bansko?
The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Bansko.
Where and when is Chavdar Etropole vs Bansko played?
Chavdar Etropole vs Bansko is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chavdar Etropole and Bansko

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