Belasitsa vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tsar Samuil, Petrich
The Footlab AI model makes Belasitsa the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 1-1. If Belasitsa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Belasitsa vs Pirin Razlog?
On Elo ratings, Belasitsa has 1,399 points and Pirin Razlog 1,325.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Belasitsa vs Pirin Razlog
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Belasitsa
4-3-3- 17I. Filchev
- 9K. Krastev
- 99D. Ivanov
- 26K. Valkov
- 18G. Karakashev
- 14I. Marchev
- 4D. Yovchev
- 5D. Yaramov
- 19V. Ergin
- 15A. Karachorov
- 1V. Ivanov
Pirin Razlog
Not enough data to predict the Pirin Razlog lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belasitsa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 0-5 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Belasitsa wins, 3 draws, 0 Pirin Razlog wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pirin Razlog 1-3 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| May 7, 2022 | Pirin Razlog 0-2 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Belasitsa 1-1 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Pirin Razlog 1-1 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Pirin Razlog 1-1 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Belasitsa 2-1 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Belasitsa on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Belasitsa score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belasitsa | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Pirin Razlog | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belasitsa sit 14th in Third League - Southwest (11 points from 11 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Belasitsa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 11 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 7 |
A question about Belasitsa vs Pirin Razlog?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Belasitsa vs Pirin Razlog?
- The Footlab AI model makes Belasitsa the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is Belasitsa vs Pirin Razlog played?
- Belasitsa vs Pirin Razlog is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tsar Samuil, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsStrumska Slava
- Nov 21, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBansko
- Nov 21, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKyustendil
- Nov 21, 2026KostinbrodvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 21, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 21, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 21, 2026Natsional SofiavsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 21, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsOborishte