Septemvri Sofia II vs Botev Ihtiman: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion German, German
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Botev Ihtiman. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia II vs Botev Ihtiman?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Septemvri Sofia II (1,510) and Botev Ihtiman (1,469).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Botev Ihtiman have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Vitosha Bistritsa(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Septemvri Sofia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Botev Ihtiman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman 1-2 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Botev Ihtiman 3-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia II 4-1 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-1 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Botev Ihtiman 0-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Botev Ihtiman 1-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Sofia II on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Ihtiman score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Botev Ihtiman | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Botev Ihtiman sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Botev Ihtiman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia II vs Botev Ihtiman?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Botev Ihtiman.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia II vs Botev Ihtiman played?
- Septemvri Sofia II vs Botev Ihtiman is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion German, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsStrumska Slava
- Nov 21, 2026BelasitsavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 21, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBansko
- Nov 21, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKyustendil
- Nov 21, 2026KostinbrodvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 21, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 21, 2026Natsional SofiavsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 21, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsOborishte