CSKA Sofia III vs Oborishte: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Oborishte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia III vs Oborishte?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate CSKA Sofia III (1,490) and Oborishte (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia III have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Oborishte have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 4-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Germaneya(home) | 5-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 CSKA Sofia III win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Oborishte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oborishte 1-1 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Oborishte 0-0 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 13, 2025 | CSKA Sofia III 4-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Jun 7, 2025 | CSKA Sofia III 5-3 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Oborishte 1-0 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Oborishte vs CSKA Sofia III on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia III score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia III | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Oborishte | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Sofia III sit 12th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Oborishte sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oborishte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia III vs Oborishte?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Oborishte.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia III vs Oborishte played?
- CSKA Sofia III vs Oborishte is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsStrumska Slava
- Nov 21, 2026BelasitsavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 21, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBansko
- Nov 21, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKyustendil
- Nov 21, 2026KostinbrodvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 21, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 21, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 21, 2026Natsional SofiavsFK Minyor Pernik