Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli played?

Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod

Kostinbrod

Septemvri Simitli

The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Septemvri Simitli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Kostinbrod (1,437) and Septemvri Simitli (1,489).

Kostinbrod win40 %

Draw28 %

Septemvri Simitli win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Septemvri Simitli have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kostinbrod
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest

Septemvri Simitli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kostinbrod win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Septemvri Simitli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
May 16, 2026	Septemvri Simitli 4-1 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
Nov 1, 2025	Kostinbrod 2-3 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
May 25, 2024	Septemvri Simitli 0-0 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
Nov 11, 2023	Kostinbrod 3-1 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Dec 3, 2022	Septemvri Simitli 0-0 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Septemvri Simitli vs Kostinbrod on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kostinbrod	0.9	1.3	4	5/15	6/15
Septemvri Simitli	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kostinbrod sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Simitli sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
10	Kostinbrod	4	2	0	2	4	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli?: The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Septemvri Simitli.
Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli played?: Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.