Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod
The Footlab AI model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Septemvri Simitli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kostinbrod wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Kostinbrod (1,425) and Septemvri Simitli (1,415).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kostinbrod
Not enough data to predict the Kostinbrod lineup.
Septemvri Simitli
4-3-3- GG. Bozhilov
- NN. Chibout
- VV. Zlatinov
- HH. Mladenov
- FF. Angelov
- JJ. Da Sylva
- KK. Mihaylov
- DD. Mitev
- PP. Kepov
- SS. Kosov
- FF. Dimitrov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Septemvri Simitli have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kostinbrod win, 2 draws, 3 Septemvri Simitli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| May 16, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli 4-1 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Kostinbrod 2-3 Septemvri Simitli | Third League - Southwest |
| May 25, 2024 | Septemvri Simitli 0-0 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Kostinbrod 3-1 Septemvri Simitli | Third League - Southwest |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Septemvri Simitli 0-0 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Simitli vs Kostinbrod on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kostinbrod score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Simitli score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kostinbrod | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Septemvri Simitli | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kostinbrod sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (18 points from 11 matches) and Septemvri Simitli sit 10th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 13 |
A question about Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Septemvri Simitli.
- Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli played?
- Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsStrumska Slava
- Nov 21, 2026BelasitsavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 21, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBansko
- Nov 21, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKyustendil
- Nov 21, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 21, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 21, 2026Natsional SofiavsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 21, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsOborishte