Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Natsional Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If FK Minyor Pernik wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,979 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik?
FK Minyor Pernik starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,558 vs 1,391).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Natsional Sofia
Not enough data to predict the Natsional Sofia lineup.
FK Minyor Pernik
4-3-3- 15D. Tarasenko
- 2B. Nikolov
- 7A. Aleksandrov
- 8V. Dotsev
- 16R. Viktorov
- 13Y. Yordanov
- 4M. Orachev
- 3P. Chilikov
- 39M. Orachev
- 22P. Vutsov
- 1I. Goshev
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 04:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Natsional Sofia have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; FK Minyor Pernik have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 5-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Natsional Sofia wins, 0 draws, 1 FK Minyor Pernik win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik 1-0 Natsional Sofia | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: FK Minyor Pernik vs Natsional Sofia on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Natsional Sofia score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FK Minyor Pernik score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natsional Sofia | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| FK Minyor Pernik | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Natsional Sofia sit 17th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 11 matches) and FK Minyor Pernik sit 1st (29 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 29 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
A question about Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik?
- The Footlab AI model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Natsional Sofia.
- Where and when is Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik played?
- Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsStrumska Slava
- Nov 21, 2026BelasitsavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 21, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBansko
- Nov 21, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKyustendil
- Nov 21, 2026KostinbrodvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 21, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 21, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 21, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsOborishte