Where and when is Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik played?

Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

Natsional Sofia

FK Minyor Pernik

The Footlab model makes Natsional Sofia the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for FK Minyor Pernik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Natsional Sofia (1,463) and FK Minyor Pernik (1,516).

Natsional Sofia win46 %

Draw26 %

FK Minyor Pernik win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Natsional Sofia have 3 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; FK Minyor Pernik have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Natsional Sofia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Strumska Slava(home)	0-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Oborishte(away)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Bansko(home)	2-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	FK Minyor Pernik(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Sep 18, 2024	Rilski Sportist(home)	3-4	Cup

FK Minyor Pernik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bansko(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Belasitsa(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	3-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Natsional Sofia(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
May 23, 2026	Dunav Ruse(home)	1-2	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Natsional Sofia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FK Minyor Pernik win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	FK Minyor Pernik 1-0 Natsional Sofia	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: FK Minyor Pernik vs Natsional Sofia on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Natsional Sofia score 3.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 9; FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Natsional Sofia	3.4	2.0	2	5/9	8/9
FK Minyor Pernik	1.3	1.5	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Natsional Sofia sit 17th in Third League - Southwest (1 points from 4 matches) and FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	FK Minyor Pernik	4	2	1	1	6	3	7
17	Natsional Sofia	4	0	1	3	3	9	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik?: The Footlab model makes Natsional Sofia the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for FK Minyor Pernik.
Where and when is Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik played?: Natsional Sofia vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.