Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, Koszalin
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kluczevia Stargard?
Kluczevia Stargard starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bałtyk Koszalin have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kluczevia Stargard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | Kluczevia Stargard 0-2 Bałtyk Koszalin | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Bałtyk Koszalin 4-1 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Bałtyk Koszalin on Apr 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bałtyk Koszalin | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kluczevia Stargard?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
- Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kluczevia Stargard played?
- Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsElana Toruń
- Nov 7, 2026Stargard SzczecińskivsNoteć Czarnków
- Nov 7, 2026KaliszvsLuzino
- Nov 7, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsPolonia Środa
- Nov 7, 2026Gedania GdanskvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Nov 7, 2026Victoria WrześniavsWda Świecie
- Nov 7, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsLech Poznań II
- Nov 7, 2026Lipno StęszewvsUnia Swarzędz