Match

Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, Koszalin

Bałtyk KoszalinKluczevia Stargard

The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kluczevia Stargard?

Kluczevia Stargard starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,653).

Bałtyk Koszalin win19 %
Draw21 %
Kluczevia Stargard win60 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bałtyk Koszalin have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bałtyk Koszalin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kalisz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Luzino(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Środa(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2
Kluczevia Stargard
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)4-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Gedania Gdansk(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)3-3III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kluczevia Stargard win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2022Kluczevia Stargard 0-2 Bałtyk KoszalinIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 12, 2021Bałtyk Koszalin 4-1 Kluczevia StargardIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Bałtyk Koszalin on Apr 23, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bałtyk Koszalin1.11.729/158/15
Kluczevia Stargard2.11.7212/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kluczevia Stargard5320151011
13Bałtyk Koszalin5122475

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kluczevia Stargard?
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kluczevia Stargard played?
Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bałtyk Koszalin and Kluczevia Stargard

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