Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków played?

Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński

Stargard Szczeciński

Noteć Czarnków

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Noteć Czarnków. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Stargard Szczeciński (1,779) and Noteć Czarnków (1,791).

Stargard Szczeciński win41 %

Draw24 %

Noteć Czarnków win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stargard Szczeciński
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stargard Szczeciński win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Noteć Czarnków win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński 1-1 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 2, 2025	Noteć Czarnków 3-1 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
May 25, 2025	Stargard Szczeciński 5-1 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 2, 2024	Noteć Czarnków 1-4 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Jun 1, 2024	Stargard Szczeciński 2-4 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 11, 2023	Noteć Czarnków 1-4 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stargard Szczeciński	1.7	1.5	5	10/15	10/15
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
9	Stargard Szczeciński	5	2	1	2	9	10	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?: The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Noteć Czarnków.
Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków played?: Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.