Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz played?

Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Lipno Stęszew, Stęszew

Lipno Stęszew

Unia Swarzędz

The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Lipno Stęszew (1,708) and Unia Swarzędz (1,763).

Lipno Stęszew win30 %

Draw23 %

Unia Swarzędz win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lipno Stęszew have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lipno Stęszew
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Lech Poznań II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Wda Świecie(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Lipno Stęszew win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Unia Swarzędz win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 15, 2026	Unia Swarzędz 3-0 Lipno Stęszew	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	Lipno Stęszew 4-3 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 15, 2025	Unia Swarzędz 0-2 Lipno Stęszew	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Unia Swarzędz vs Lipno Stęszew on Jul 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lipno Stęszew	1.3	1.7	4	7/15	9/15
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lipno Stęszew sit 17th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6
17	Lipno Stęszew	5	0	1	4	5	11	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz?: The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lipno Stęszew.
Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz played?: Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.