Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Grom Nowy Staw played?

Gedania Gdansk vs Grom Nowy Staw is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gedania Gdansk vs Grom Nowy Staw: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, Gdańsk

Gedania Gdansk

Grom Nowy Staw

The Footlab model makes Gedania Gdansk the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Grom Nowy Staw. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Grom Nowy Staw?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Gedania Gdansk (1,668) and Grom Nowy Staw (1,695).

Gedania Gdansk win39 %

Draw22 %

Grom Nowy Staw win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gedania Gdansk have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Grom Nowy Staw have 2, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gedania Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	5-3	III Liga - Group 2

Grom Nowy Staw
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	3-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Wda Świecie(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gedania Gdansk	1.5	2.3	1	8/15	10/15
Grom Nowy Staw	2.0	2.0	2	5/8	5/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gedania Gdansk sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Gedania Gdansk	5	1	3	1	12	11	6
14	Grom Nowy Staw	5	1	0	4	10	13	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gedania Gdansk vs Grom Nowy Staw?: The Footlab model makes Gedania Gdansk the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Grom Nowy Staw.
Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Grom Nowy Staw played?: Gedania Gdansk vs Grom Nowy Staw is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.