Banfield vs Rosario Central: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 11Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Florencio Solá, Lomas de Zamora, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Banfield. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Banfield vs Rosario Central?
Rosario Central starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banfield have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Rosario Central have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Newells Old Boys(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Midland(home) | 2-2 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Racing Club(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barracas Central(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aldosivi(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | River Plate(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Banfield win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Rosario Central win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Rosario Central 2-1 Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Rosario Central 1-1 Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Rosario Central 0-0 Banfield | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Banfield 3-0 Rosario Central | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| May 29, 2023 | Banfield 2-0 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Rosario Central 0-1 Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Rosario Central vs Banfield on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Banfield score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rosario Central score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banfield | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Rosario Central | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Banfield sit 12th in Liga Profesional Argentina (18 points from 16 matches) and Rosario Central sit 4th (28 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Banfield vs Rosario Central?
- The Footlab model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Banfield.
- Where and when is Banfield vs Rosario Central played?
- Banfield vs Rosario Central is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Florencio Solá, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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