Where and when is Cove Rangers vs Aberdeen U21 played?

Cove Rangers vs Aberdeen U21 is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balmoral Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cove Rangers vs Aberdeen U21: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen

Cove Rangers

Aberdeen U21

The Footlab model makes Cove Rangers the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Aberdeen U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cove Rangers vs Aberdeen U21?

Cove Rangers starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,587 vs 1,405).

Cove Rangers win70 %

Draw16 %

Aberdeen U21 win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cove Rangers have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Aberdeen U21 have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cove Rangers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Peterhead(home)	3-0	League One
Aug 15, 2026	East Kilbride(away)	0-3	League One
Aug 11, 2026	Stirling Albion(away)	2-4	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	East Fife(away)	0-2	League One
Aug 1, 2026	Airdrie United(home)	0-0	League One

Aberdeen U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	Forfar Athletic(away)	3-0	Challenge Cup
Jul 14, 2026	Keith(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026	Turriff United(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 4, 2026	Invergordon(away)	9-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 27, 2026	Fraserburgh(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Cove Rangers score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aberdeen U21 score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cove Rangers	1.2	2.3	3	6/15	10/15
Aberdeen U21	1.7	2.5	1	11/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cove Rangers vs Aberdeen U21?: The Footlab model makes Cove Rangers the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Aberdeen U21.
Where and when is Cove Rangers vs Aberdeen U21 played?: Cove Rangers vs Aberdeen U21 is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balmoral Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.