Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Eintracht Frankfurt (2,112) and 1. FC Köln (2,030).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Frankfurt have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 11-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 1-5 | Bundesliga |
| May 10, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 1. FC Köln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1. FC Köln 3-4 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Feb 3, 2024 | 1. FC Köln 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1. FC Köln 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| 1. FC Köln | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th in Bundesliga (44 points from 34 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | 44 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Köln.
- Where and when is Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln played?
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Deutsche Bank Park, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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