Match

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV ElversbergFC Augsburg

The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate SV Elversberg (2,090) and FC Augsburg (2,065).

SV Elversberg win47 %
Draw24 %
FC Augsburg win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Elversberg have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)3-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Lorient(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Mallorca(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026Strasbourg(away)5-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026NEC Nijmegen(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 SV Elversberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FC Augsburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2015SV Elversberg 1-3 FC AugsburgDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg on Aug 7, 2015

How many goals should we expect?

SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg2.51.2411/1511/15
FC Augsburg2.52.0210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9FC Augsburg3412715456143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?
The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg played?
SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SV Elversberg and FC Augsburg

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