Bulgaria vs Estonia: result 0-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 2Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
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What was the result of Bulgaria vs Estonia?
Bulgaria and Estonia drew 0-0 on September 29, 2026.
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bulgaria win at 58%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 0-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Bulgaria vs Estonia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bulgaria
4-3-3- 10Z. Dimitrov
- 20L. Petkov
- 16M. Petkov
- 7B. Tsonev
- 22K. Stoyanov
- 4I. Gruev
- 21D. Velkovski
- 13S. Velkov
- 5K. Dimitrov
- 19I. Turitsov
- 1D. Naumov
Estonia
5-3-2- 9Karel Mustmaa
- 14P. Kristal
- 20M. Poom
- 8M. Soomets
- 4M. Käit
- 19M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 18K. Mets
- 5E. Tõugjas
- 3M. Paskotši
- 7R. Saarma
- 1K. Hein
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bulgaria have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Estonia have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Luxembourg(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Moldova(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Montenegro(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Indonesia(away) | 1-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Solomon Islands(away) | 10-2 | FIFA Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Iceland(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Lithuania(home) | 1-0 | Baltic Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Faroe Islands(home) | 1-0 | Baltic Cup |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Rwanda(away) | 0-2 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Kenya(away) | 1-1 | FIFA Series |
How many goals should we expect?
Bulgaria score 1.4 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia score 1.1 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Estonia | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bulgaria sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (4 points from 4 matches) and Estonia sit 2nd (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
A question about Bulgaria vs Estonia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy