Luxembourg vs Iceland: result 0-3 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 2Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stade de Luxembourg, Lëtzebuerg (Luxembourg)
Full time
What was the result of Luxembourg vs Iceland?
Iceland won 0-3 on September 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 13′A. GuðjohnsenIceland
- 39′O. ÓskarssonIceland
- 73′V. PálssonIceland
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Iceland win at 41%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Luxembourg vs Iceland
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Luxembourg
4-1-4-1- 7Aiman Dardari
- 17H. Kadamani
- 16L. Barreiro
- 6J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
- 11V. Thill
- 19M. Olesen
- 4F. Bohnert
- 13D. Carlson
- 3E. Mahmutović
- 18L. Jans
- 1A. Moris
Iceland
4-4-2- 9O. Óskarsson
- 22A. Guðjohnsen
- 7H. Haraldsson
- 10G. Sigurðsson
- 8Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
- 19M. Ellertsson
- 2L. Tómasson
- 3D. Grétarsson
- 16S. Þórðarson
- 4V. Pálsson
- 12H. Valdimarsson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luxembourg have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Iceland have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bulgaria(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Albania(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Italy(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Malta(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Malta(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Estonia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Japan(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Haiti(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Canada(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Luxembourg win, 1 draw, 0 Iceland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | Iceland 1-1 Luxembourg | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Luxembourg 3-1 Iceland | Euro Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Iceland vs Luxembourg on Oct 13, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Luxembourg score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Iceland score 1.4 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Iceland | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luxembourg sit 4th in UEFA Nations League (3 points from 4 matches) and Iceland sit 1st (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Luxembourg vs Iceland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy