CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Caseros, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes CA Estudiantes the favourite at 60%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for Acassuso. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso?
CA Estudiantes starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CA Estudiantes have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Acassuso have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Central Norte(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Midland(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(away) | 1-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CA Estudiantes win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Acassuso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Acassuso 0-1 CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Acassuso 1-1 CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 16, 2018 | CA Estudiantes 2-1 Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 22, 2018 | Acassuso 1-2 CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Dec 6, 2017 | CA Estudiantes 0-0 Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 24, 2017 | CA Estudiantes 1-1 Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Acassuso vs CA Estudiantes on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CA Estudiantes score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Acassuso score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Estudiantes | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Acassuso | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CA Estudiantes sit 7th in Primera Nacional (35 points from 26 matches) and Acassuso sit 18th (22 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso?
- The Footlab model makes CA Estudiantes the favourite at 60%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for Acassuso.
- Where and when is CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso played?
- CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.